Category Archives: Topics

Scientific Objectivity

 

Bias and Fraud in Science

by the Editors

 


The problems in science today –
and what needs to change.


 
NIH Disclosure Rules Falter
Sara Reardon, Nature News, 15 September 2015
“Still, [former U.S. Senate staffer Paul] Thacker says, there is a clear need for closer scrutiny. This is backed up by evidence showing that studies funded by private sources, such as drug firms, more often produce results that benefit the funder than do publicly funded studies. And Thacker has little sympathy for universities’ complaints. ‘It just shows that they still don’t get what the problem is,’ he says. ‘They’re in this place today because they’ve failed to create confidence for the public in the past.'”

Be Careful, Your Love Of Science Looks A Lot Like Religion
Jamie Holmes, Quartz, August 11, 2015
“Deep faith in science is sometimes just another form of (irrational) extremism.”

The Trouble With Scientists
Philip Ball, Nautilus, May 14, 2015
“How one psychologist is tackling human biases in science.”

Problems with scientific research:
How science goes wrong

The Economist, October 19, 2013
“Scientific research has changed the world.
Now it needs to change itself.”

Publication prejudices:
An experimental study of confirmatory bias in the peer review system

Michael J. Mahoney, Cognitive Therapy and Research, 1977
(Cognitive Therapy and Research, Vol. 1, No. 2, 1977, p. 161-175.
Full text here.)

Trial by Peers Comes up Short
Sophie Petit-Zeman, The Guardian, January 16, 2003
“Sophie Petit-Zeman examines the 200-year practice of peer review.”

Improving ERC Ethical Standards
Helga Nowotny and Pavel Exner, Science, September 6, 2013
Helga Nowotny is president of the ERC (European Research Council).
Pavel Exner is vice-president of the ERC and chair of the ERC
Scientific Council Standing Committee on Conflict of Interest,
Scientific Misconduct and Ethics.

The Mind of a Con Man
Yudhijit Bhattacharee, The New York Times, April 26, 2013
“Diederik Stapel, a Dutch social psychologist, perpetrated an
audacious academic fraud by making up studies that told
the world what it wanted to hear about human nature.”

Fraud Case Seen as a Red Flag for Psychology Research
Benedict Carey, The New York Times, November 2, 2011

Challenging Medical Ghostwriting in U.S. Courts
Xavier Bosch, Bijan Esfandiari, and Leemon McHenry,
PLOS, January 24, 2012 (DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001163)

Scientific Pride and Prejudice
Michael Suk-Young Chwe, The New York Times, January 31, 2014
“Science is in crisis, just when we need it most.”

New Truths That Only One Can See
George Johnson, The New York Times, January 20, 2014

The Trouble With ‘Scientific’ Research Today:
A Lot That’s Published Is Junk

Henry I. Miller and S. Stanley Young, Forbes, January 8, 2014

Lies, Damned Lies, and Medical Science
David H. Freedman, The Atlantic, November 2010
“Much of what medical researchers conclude in their studies is
misleading, exaggerated, or flat-out wrong. So why are doctors —
to a striking extent — still drawing upon misinformation
in their everyday practice? Dr. John Ioannidis has spent his
career challenging his peers by exposing their bad science.”

Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
John P. A. Ioannidis, PLOS, August 30, 2005

How science selects for perseverance and sociability
at the expense of intelligence and creativity.

B.G. Charlton, Medical Hypotheses, March 2009
(Med Hypotheses. 2009 Mar;72(3):237-43. doi: 10.1016/j.mehy.2008.11.020. Epub 2008 Dec 12.)

Laboratory Confidential:
Should scientists be more forthcoming about their flaws?

Michelle Nijhuis, Slate, May 7, 2012

Good Scientist! You Get a Badge.
Carl Zimmer, Slate, August 14, 2012
“Precious research money is wasted on unreal results,
but we can change the culture of science.”

Companies win U.S. free speech shield over scientific articles
Jonathan Stempel, Reuters, June 26, 2013

He didn’t see that coming, or did he?
Matthew Reisz, Times Higher Education, 29 April 2010
Nobel-laureate physicist Brian Josephson, head of the Mind-Matter Unification Project at Cambridge, was rejected from a quantum physics conference on the de Broglie-Bohm theory on the grounds that “one of his principal research interests is the paranormal”.

Science and the Seance
Hannah Goff, BBC News, 30 August 2005
“The world’s most eminent scientists are not usually associated with the dim-lit surroundings of a clairvoyant’s parlour. But some of science’s biggest names have not only dabbled in, but been entirely convinced by the world of the seance.”

Response to Martin Gardner’s Attack on Reich and Orgone
Research in Skeptical Inquirer

James DeMeo, Director, Orgone Biophysical Research Lab, 1989

 
 
 
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Energy

 

Energy

 

Attacks on Research Funding for New Energy Alternatives
to Oil and Nuclear Fission Energy Generation

by The Editors

 


 
In a 2006 issue of Nature (Volume 442, pp. 230-231, 20 July 2006) Eugenie Samuel Reich reported S. Putterman’s belief that Rusi Taleyarkhan, leader of the group that developed the bubble fusion process, used DARPA funding, implying, the article appears to suggest, ‘misuse of federal dollars’, a serious allegation.

Professor Brian Josephson of Cambridge University has taken issue with Nature over what he considers to be unfounded allegations, published for no better reason than that they constitute a “worthwhile story”.

This is not the first time that research into alternative methods of achieving nuclear fusion for power generation has come under attack.

In March 1989, the initial claims for cold fusion were reported by Martin Fleischmann and Stanley Pons of the University of Utah. The resulting controversy ended in the rejection of cold fusion by the mainstream scientific community. Subsequent research has been fragmentary and largely unsupported. Reports claiming a degree of success have tended to be disregarded.

In a recent article in the online magazine Spectrum, members of the Bubble Fusion Project team, Richard T. Lahey Jr., Rusi P. Taleyarkhan, and Robert I. Nigmatulin, summarise the attractions of thermonuclear fusion.

In principle, the deuterium present in one cubic kilometer of seawater could supply all the world’s energy needs for several hundred years. Nuclear fusion promises cheap, clean, safe and virtually limitless energy, which existing fission-based generators do not. Unsurprisingly, billions have been expended world-wide in efforts to develop a feasible process.

There were high hopes when the British ZETA project began in 1954. Within four years the project was shut down in the belief that no further progress was possible with this design.

JET, the Joint European Torus, the largest nuclear fusion experimental reactor yet built, started construction in 1978 and the first experiments began in 1983. In 1997 JET achieved a world record peak fusion power output of 16 MW. In doing this it consumed over 22 MW, equalling a net power output of minus 6 MW. The ITER process now under development is expected to further increase fusion power production.

Thus, 50 years of “conventional” science with enormous expense have produced results which are no better than promising. The central problem, which has so far proved intractable, is that of creating and controlling a gas plasma under the conditions of extreme temperature and pressure existing at the centre of the sun.

Alternative approaches like cold fusion, and latterly, bubble fusion, are designed to avoid this problem altogether.

It might be thought that in the present circumstances surrounding energy supply, pioneering attempts to solve the problems of nuclear fusion would be generally welcomed and supported; at least until they proved impracticable. Compared with the demands of big science, the costs are likely to be minute.

The attempt in Nature, based upon what appears to be shaky evidence, to discredit the Bubble Fusion Project is to be deprecated.

Professor Josephson is right to draw attention to this and is surely justified in concluding, “It is unusual, to say the least, for a journal such as Nature to take such a cavalier attitude to such matters.”

 
 
 
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Extraterrestrials

 

ETs, EBEs, and ETVs

 

by The Editors

 


Debate over reported UFO phenomena has raged for over 50 years.


 
All too often, the battle in a classic controversy such as “Do UFOs exist?” has been conducted from the extremes: enthusiasts to the left, dogmatists to the right.

Amongst the turmoil of claims and rebuttals of this debate, Bernard Haisch demonstrates positive skepticism in action. His level-headed website UFOSkeptic.org – “an information site on the UFO phenomenon by and for professional scientists” – opens with the following definition:

“Skeptic”

One who practices the method of suspended judgment, engages in rational and dispassionate reasoning as exemplified by the scientific method, shows willingness to consider alternative explanations without prejudice based on prior beliefs, and who seeks out evidence and carefully scrutinizes its validity.

Should professional scientists concern themselves with UFO phenomena?

When Prof. Peter Sturrock, a prominent Stanford University plasma physicist, conducted a survey of the membership of the American Astronomical Society he found that astronomers who spent time reading up on the UFO phenomenon developed more interest in it.

If there were nothing to it, you would expect the opposite. The fact of the matter is, there does exist a vast amount of high quality, albeit enigmatic, data.

Politics and secrecy

Haisch does not claim to be an insider, but has concluded that there is remarkable information in existence. He has learned that it would be possible to maintain long term secrecy on this subject, and why this might be justified. Do certain mass sightings originate from SCI programmes, and has anything emerged from them?

Are UFO phenomena real?

Haisch feels it likely that something, “not merely delusional, but real and important” is behind the UFO phenomenon.

“I propose that true skepticism is called for today: neither the gullible acceptance of true belief nor the closed-minded rejection of the scoffer masquerading as the skeptic.”

Advances are made by answering questions.
Discoveries are made by questioning answers.

– Bernard Haisch

 
The Klass Files
Archive of skeptic Philip J. Klass’s UFO newsletter at CSICOP.
Criticism of Klass by Kevin D. Randle
Criticism of Klass by Travis Walton (YouTube; 34:30 – 37:30)

 
Articles:

The Crop Circle Making Competition
Dr. Rupert Sheldrake’s scientific research offers a balanced approach to crop circle investigation. (PDF)

Did aliens establish a primitive postcode system in ancient Britain?
“Ancient monuments align with every postcode in the UK, suggesting powerful extraterrestrial influences at work.”
Matt Parker, The Guardian, April 21, 2011
– More on Ramsey Theory here.

 
 
 
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Cosmology

 

Funding Denied for Plasma Cosmology Research

by The Editors

 


 
A group of cosmologists, other scientists and engineers published an open letter in New Scientist on May 22, 2004.

Their purpose was to draw attention to the current policy on research funding which seems to be governed by dogmatism and prejudice in favour of “establishment” science.

The specific case refers to the denial of funding for research into Plasma Cosmology. The Big Bang theory has been the generally accepted explanation of the origins of the Universe since 1965, in spite of serious theoretical problems. New observational evidence is now accumulating against Big Bang. Lerner and his supporters contend that Plasma Cosmology provides a superior basis for understanding the Universe. They protest that decisions on research funding are taken in the interests of supporting the status quo rather than advancing scientific understanding.

In this article we give a background to the controversy, highlight some of the severe problems which have afflicted Big Bang in recent years, and give examples of recent observational evidence which, whilst readily explained in terms of Plasma Cosmology, appears to refute Big Bang entirely.
 


 
Science Stifled by Dogma

In an open letter published in New Scientist a group of scientists protest that scientific research is being stifled by the way in which funds are allocated 1. This is not a new complaint, but it poses serious questions, not least because the area of research concerned, the nature of the Universe, is itself fundamental.

The integrity of science depends to a large degree on the peer review process. Stephen Hawking explains as follows, “A good theory will describe a large range of phenomena on the basis of a few simple postulates and will make definite predictions which can be tested … if the observations disagree with the predictions, one has to discard or modify the theory”.

So far so good, but Hawking then adds, in revealing parentheses, “(At least, that is what is supposed to happen. In practice, people often question the accuracy of the observations and the reliability and moral character of those making the observations.)” – our emphasis.2 Perhaps Hawking has in mind his own early struggles for acceptance of his work on the Big Bang theory against open hostility from Professor Fred Hoyle.

The Big Bang theory is the oldest modern explanation of the origin of the Universe, having its roots in the concept of the expanding Universe proposed by Georges Lemaître, in 1927. Lemaître was the first to wind the clock backwards to a creation event. The theory received crucial support when, in 1929, Edwin Hubble announced his discovery that galaxies appear to be receding from us, as though from a massive explosion. At the time of Hawking’s difficulty with the aggressive Professor Hoyle, the Big Bang had not yet achieved a dominating position. There was a competitor.3

The Steady State Theory

By the late 1940s it was already becoming clear that the Big Bang theory was not the simple explanation of the origin of the Universe that it had at first appeared. There were problems in reconciling the simple concept of a Big Bang with the state of the Universe as it then appeared. Philosophically, the Big Bang was not universally attractive either, involving as it must, an instant of creation and a new vacancy for a Creator, a problem likely to remain unresolved.4

To the non-philosopher, in the aftermath of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, big bangs were not attractive. The way was open for an alternative.

The Steady State theory of Hoyle, Bondi and Gold was advanced in the late 1940s and was a serious rival to Big Bang for almost 20 years.5 Hoyle and his colleagues proposed a universe which is expanding, but has the same properties at all times. This was an extension of the cosmological principle, which says that the Universe is isotropic and homogenous in space, to include homogeneity with respect to time.

They countered the objection that if the universe is expanding at a steady rate the density of matter must decrease with time by proposing the C-field which provided continuous creation of hydrogen atoms in the vacuum to counteract the dilution due to expansion. This process has never been observed in the laboratory, but since the rate of creation required is of the order of one atom per cubic kilometre of space over a period of around 10 years, this was hardly a fatal objection.

At Cambridge, due to the undoubted brilliance of the Steady State team, and, it has to be said, the arrogance of Hoyle, Steady State was in the ascendancy at the time of young Stephen Hawking’s struggles. Although Hawking built his reputation on his work to advance Big Bang theory, and consequently refute Steady State, he made use of the C-field concept in his development of the inflationary universe. In fact, in the eternal inflation model, Big Bang universes appear as small bubbles in the de Sitter vacuum. The essential difference is in the size of the creation event: entire universes in the inflationary model, rather than single hydrogen atoms in Steady State.

Steady State fell out of favour because it was unable to explain the observed correlation between the evolution of galaxies and their observed red shift, although Fred Hoyle was never reconciled to Big Bang. The fatal evidence which finished off Steady State was the discovery of the cosmic microwave background radiation.

Cosmic Microwave Background Radiation

(CMB), discovered accidentally by two radio engineers, Penzias and Wilson in 1965, constituted the vital observational evidence which guaranteed the supremacy of Big Bang at the time. The characteristics of CMB suggested that it had been produced in the very early stages of the Universe (around 300,000 years after the initial singularity). When released, this radiation would have been in the optical or uv range of the spectrum, but since then it has been progressively red shifted by the expansion of the universe and is now seen at microwave wavelengths with a temperature of 2.73K. CMB was of paramount importance in providing evidence about the thermal conditions in the fledgling universe. Also, its near-perfect isotropy was in support of the cosmological principle. The discovery of ripples in the microwave background by the Cosmic Background Explorer satellite in 1992, which had already been predicted by Hawking and others, made it possible to test theories of cosmological structure formation.6

Flaws in the Big Bang

The recent history of the Big Bang theory has been of mathematical struggle to find solutions to a sea of problems. We are now a very long way from Hawking’s ideal of a theory which “on the basis of a few simple postulates will make definite predictions which can be tested”. For example, when it became impossible to reconcile the standard cosmological model with the Universe as it appears, the concept of inflation involving a finite period of inflationary expansion was introduced. Since the proposal of what is now termed old inflation by Guth in 1981, we have experienced new inflation, chaotic inflation, eternal inflation, stochastic inflation, modified gravity, and their sub-variants. At the end of which, we have no evidence that inflation ever happened. All the above theories and their numerous variants are effectively attempts to explain the “facts” as we know them by mathematical modelling. Depending on results from the Large Hadron Collider, due to be completed at Geneva in 2005, it may be possible to determine whether we are in living in a (mem)brane universe in 11 dimensions of space time.7

It may not be unfair to conclude that the modern Big Bang theory comes with more patches and fixes than a piece of Bill Gates’ software.

An Alternative Theory

It is no surprise that the current Big Bang theory has been attacked by a number of scientists. In 1991 in his book, The Big Bang Never Happened, Eric J. Lerner presented evidence that the Big Bang theory was contradicted by observations and that another approach, plasma cosmology, which hypothesized a universe without beginning or end, far better explained what we know of the cosmos. 8The book set off a considerable debate. Since then, observations have only further confirmed these conclusions. On his website The Big Bang Never Happened Lerner presents details of the evidence accumulating against Big Bang theory, and gives examples where the alternative Plasma Cosmology gives correct predictions.

Observing the Inexplicable

The list of inconvenient (for Big Bang theorists) observations grows.

1. In 2003, a survey of clusters of galaxies made using data acquired by the ROSAT x-ray satellite showed what seems to be a huge concentration of matter some 12 billion light years across. A concentration of this size could not possibly have formed during the time since the supposed Big Bang (10-20 billion years).

2. Discoveries announced at the January, 2004 American Astronomical Society meeting showed that the Universe looks very similar billions of years ago (i.e. at high redshifts), to its appearance today, in contraction to the Big Bang idea that the Universe looked quite different in the past. For example, galaxies from 10-billion-years-ago appear to have a similar distribution of stellar ages and a similar spectrum of chemical elements produced by stars as our present-day galaxy. If the Big Bang had really happened, these galaxies should appear much younger, with fewer heavy metals and mostly young stars. Instead they look much the same as today.

3. The ARP Controversy over Galaxy NGC 7603.

Plasma Cosmology Theory

Like the Steady State model, Plasma Cosmology hypothesizes an evolving Universe without beginning or end.

A fundamental problem with Big Bang theory is the weakness of the gravitational force. If the Universe is held together by gravity, why did the products of the Big Bang not disperse spontaneously to infinity? The answer to this problem was to postulate extra or ‘dark’ matter to provide sufficient attractive force. It turned out that over 98% of the Universe would have to be composed of dark matter, which no one has ever been able to detect. Even if the dark matter proposition is accepted, there remains the problem of how the rate of expansion could have turned out just right to allow stars, planets and life to evolve. A tiny variation either way would produce a Universe which either disappeared to infinity or collapsed back on itself shortly after the Big Bang. The probability of the fledgling Universe getting it just right is minute.

Plasma Cosmology eliminates these difficulties by replacing gravity by the much stronger electromagnetic force (the electrostatic attraction between a proton and an electron is 1040 times stronger than their gravitational attraction). It was always assumed that the electromagnetic force was insignificant in astronomical situations because there is no large scale separation of electrostatic charge which would be necessary to create electric forces.

Results from the Chandra X-Ray Observatory are claimed to confirm the presence of huge clouds of electrically charged plasma in the Universe, refuting the conventional assumption.

In September 2003, Chandra returned an image of the supernova remnant in the Crab nebula. “…the center of the remnant contains a rapidly rotating neutron star – or pulsar – that is apparently pumping enormous amounts of energy into the nebula in the form of high-energy particles and magnetic fields. Chandra’s X-ray image provides significant clues to the workings of this mighty cosmic generator…”

Nearer home, the mysterious slowing of the Pioneer 10 probe as it moves away from the Solar System has no explanation in conventional terms but is readily explained if the probe is electrically charged (which it probably is) and is moving through an electric field.

According to Lerner, Plasma Cosmology not only explains existing observational evidence, but has successfully predicted results which were unknown at the time – just as Einstein was able to do with the General Theory of Relativity – the mark of a sound hypothesis.

Science Obstructed by Dogma

In spite of the accumulation of observational evidence against it, and the array of fudge factors necessary to its survival, Big Bang remains the primary model of cosmology. The time has now come for serious investigation into an alternative explanation. This is the message of Lerner’s Open Letter. His complaint is that because of the entrenchment of Big Bang in the scientific establishment, it has become virtually impossible to obtain funding for open-minded research. Worse than that, young scientists who make bold to doubt the establishment theory put their careers in jeopardy – as Stephen Hawking did in his time. “Even observations are now interpreted through this biased filter, judged right or wrong depending on whether or not they support the big bang. So discordant data on red shifts, lithium and helium abundances, and galaxy distribution, among other topics, are ignored or ridiculed.”

This reflects a growing dogmatic mindset that is alien to the spirit of free scientific enquiry.

It is not difficult to understand how scientists who have devoted their entire careers to the development of a major theory feel when their work comes to be supplanted. But this is the only way forward, and ultimately, nothing is wasted.

 
References

1. An Open Letter to the Scientific Community, New Scientist, May 22, 2004.

2. Hawking, S. The Universe in a Nutshell, Bantam Press, 2001, p. 31.

3. Krach, H. Cosmology and Controversy: the Historical Development of Two Theories of the Universe, Princeton University Press, Princeton NJ, 1996.

4. Craig, William Lane. “Creation and Big Bang Cosmology.” Philosophia Naturalis 31 (1994): 217-224.

5. Hoyle, Sir Fred. Nature of the Universe Cambridge UP, 1952.

6. Goldsmith, D. Einstein’s Greatest Blunder? The Cosmological Constant and Other Fudge Factors in the Physics of the Universe, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, 1995.

7. Hawking, S. op cit p. 196-200.

8. Lerner, Eric J. The Big Bang Never Happened. Vintage, 1991.

 
 
 
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Consciousness

The Antique Roadshow: How Denier Movements Critique Evolution, Climate Change, and Nonlocal Consciousness (pdf)

Stephan A. Schwartz, 2010

“Publication History: This paper, presented at the American Psychological Association Annual Meetings, 4 August 2011 in Washington, D.C. had been previously published. A shorter slightly different version appeared as a paper in the journal Explore as ‘The Denier Movements Critique Evolution, Climate Change, and Nonlocal Consciousness’, May 2010 6:3 p. 135-142. This version was a chapter: ‘The antique road show: How denier movements critique evolution, climate change, and nonlocal consciousness’, in Debating Psychic Experiences: Human Potential or Human Illusion? (Eds.) S. Krippner & H. Friedman. Santa Barbara, CA: Praeger, 2010.”

Crossing the Threshold: Nonlocal Consciousness and the Burden of Proof (pdf)

Stephan A. Schwartz, Schwartz Report, Explore Magazine, March/April 2013, Vol. 9, No. 2, p. 77-81.

False Equivalencies and the Mediocrity of Nonlocal Consciousness Research Criticism (pdf)

Stephan A. Schwartz, Schwartz Report, Explore Magazine, May/June 2013, Vol. 9, No. 3, p. 131-135.

Stephan A. Schwartz is the Senior Samueli Fellow for Brain, Mind, and Healing at the Samueli Institute.

* Quote is from the website Conscious Entities.